BTC-USD · 15-minute live forecast
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80% range (15 min)
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P(higher in 15 min)
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30s volatility
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Loading the last 90 minutes of BTC trades…
Takes about 10 seconds. The first forecast appears right after.
Actual (30s closes)
Forecast path
50% / 80% / 95% bands
Forecast issued 15 min ago
Next 15 minutes, every 30 seconds
| Time | + | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high | P(up) |
|---|
Live scorecard: model vs "no change"
| Horizon | n | MAE model | MAE no-change | Skill | Direction hit | 80% coverage |
|---|
Skill = 1 − MAEmodel/MAEno-change. Positive means the model beats simply assuming the price
stays put. 80% coverage should be close to 80% if the bands are well calibrated. Scores include the backfilled
history replay, so they are populated from the start.
Live data from the public Coinbase API, computed entirely in your browser. At 15 minutes BTC is close to a random walk, so treat this as an experiment, not financial advice.